I am not only "somewhat eccentric" - I am very eccentric. Can't prove it, but I got close to predicting the war in Ukraine in 1991 too! Eccentricity has nothing to do with it; any one with an iota of knowledge of the Russian empire and the place that Crimea held in that history and what it "meant" to Russia and Russians, could have seen that conflict - and probably war - was baked into the Belovezha Accords. For Ukraine to retain control of Crimea - ceded to them merely on some whim of Khrushchev 40+ years earlier- was clearly not a stable arrangement. At this point, I figure NATO big thinkers realized that at the time but decided to treat it as a feature, not a bug (as they say).
As prescient as this sounds, it discounts the influence of outside agitators, the U.S. Empire Deep State, particularly, in fomenting discord.
I am not only "somewhat eccentric" - I am very eccentric. Can't prove it, but I got close to predicting the war in Ukraine in 1991 too! Eccentricity has nothing to do with it; any one with an iota of knowledge of the Russian empire and the place that Crimea held in that history and what it "meant" to Russia and Russians, could have seen that conflict - and probably war - was baked into the Belovezha Accords. For Ukraine to retain control of Crimea - ceded to them merely on some whim of Khrushchev 40+ years earlier- was clearly not a stable arrangement. At this point, I figure NATO big thinkers realized that at the time but decided to treat it as a feature, not a bug (as they say).